Sealed Product Model
What a booster pack is actually worth.
Modeled EV = Σ (reference price × pull rate), on the same published reference prices as every other CardIntel surface. The live model covers standard Pokémon booster packs; MTG sealed stays unpublished until a product-specific model is ready.
Search by set name, code, or product word. The best match stays selected.
Set
Ascended Heroes
565 cards
Modeled Pack EV
$4.24
Modeled Box EV
$152.51
Box Cost
$120.00
Modeled Box ROI
+27.1%
✓ MODEL FAVORS OPENING
Breakeven Analysis
Cost per pack$3.33
Modeled EV per pack$4.24
Modeled profit per box+$32.51
Breakeven box cost$152.51
Modeled Cost Per Hit
Cards ≥ $1.00(88)~$23.95/hit
Cards ≥ $5.00(60)~$77.22/hit
Cards ≥ $10.00(32)~$231.92/hit
Cards ≥ $25.00(26)~$287.48/hit
Uses modeled pull rates from the EV engine, not equal-card odds.
EV by Rarity Tier
| Tier | Cards | Avg Reference | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
Secret/SAR | 55 | $99.79 | $1.47 34.6% |
Ultra Rare | 14 | $1.97 | $0.05 1.3% |
Rare | 120 | $7.71 | $0.58 13.6% |
Uncommon | 149 | $0.25 | $0.74 17.4% |
Common | 227 | $0.23 | $1.40 33.1% |
EV Distribution
Secret/SAR34.6%
Ultra Rare1.3%
Rare13.6%
Uncommon17.4%
Common33.1%
Top 10 EV Contributors
| # | Card | Rarity | Reference | Pull Rate | EV Contribution | % of Pack EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mega Gengar ex - 284/217 | Special Illustration Rare | $1.2K Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 3960 | $0.30 | 7.1% |
| 2 |  Pikachu ex - 276/217 | Special Illustration Rare | $1.2K Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 3960 | $0.29 | 6.9% |
| 3 |  Mega Dragonite ex - 290/217 | Special Illustration Rare | $708.08 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 3960 | $0.18 | 4.2% |
| 4 |  Mega Gengar ex - 269/217 | Mega Attack Rare | $60.25 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 360 | $0.17 | 3.9% |
| 5 |  Mega Dragonite ex - 271/217 | Mega Attack Rare | $42.46 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 360 | $0.12 | 2.8% |
| 6 |  Pikachu ex - 277/217 | Special Illustration Rare | $385.44 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 3960 | $0.10 | 2.3% |
| 7 |  Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 281/217 | Special Illustration Rare | $384.33 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 3960 | $0.10 | 2.3% |
| 8 |  Charmander | Common | $3.62 Snapshot-backed reference | 2.6% | $0.10 | 2.3% |
| 9 |  Mega Charizard Y ex - 294/217 | Mega Hyper Rare | $436.68 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 8640 | $0.05 | 1.2% |
| 10 |  Glastrier | Uncommon | $2.44 Snapshot-backed reference | 2.0% | $0.05 | 1.2% |