Market Tape
Set Expected Value Calculator
Modeled EV = Σ (reference price × pull rate). The live sealed model currently applies to standard Pokémon booster packs only; MTG singles are tracked elsewhere on CardIntel, but MTG sealed EV is not published until a product-specific model is ready.
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Set
HS—Unleashed
315 cards
Modeled Pack EV
$24.60
Modeled Box EV
$885.43
Box Cost
$120.00
Modeled Box ROI
+637.9%
✓ MODEL FAVORS OPENING
Breakeven Analysis
Cost per pack$3.33
Modeled EV per pack$24.60
Modeled profit per box+$765.43
Breakeven box cost$885.43
Modeled Cost Per Hit
Cards ≥ $1.00(193)~$0.81/hit
Cards ≥ $5.00(85)~$4.11/hit
Cards ≥ $10.00(74)~$5.54/hit
Cards ≥ $25.00(39)~$28.24/hit
Uses modeled pull rates from the EV engine, not equal-card odds.
EV by Rarity Tier
| Tier | Cards | Avg Reference | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
Ultra Rare | 13 | $109.66 | $3.05 12.4% |
Holo Rare | 11 | $11.80 | $3.93 16.0% |
Rare | 96 | $16.41 | $8.57 34.9% |
Uncommon | 105 | $1.27 | $3.81 15.5% |
Common | 90 | $0.75 | $5.23 21.3% |
EV Distribution
Ultra Rare12.4%
Holo Rare16.0%
Rare34.9%
Uncommon15.5%
Common21.3%
Top 10 EV Contributors
| # | Card | Rarity | Reference | Pull Rate | EV Contribution | % of Pack EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Politoed | Holo Rare | $24.55 Snapshot-backed reference | 3.0% | $0.74 | 3.0% |
| 2 |  Jirachi | Holo Rare | $22.40 Snapshot-backed reference | 3.0% | $0.68 | 2.8% |
| 3 |  Sudowoodo | Holo Rare | $16.99 Snapshot-backed reference | 3.0% | $0.51 | 2.1% |
| 4 |  Shaymin | Holo Rare | $14.58 Snapshot-backed reference | 3.0% | $0.44 | 1.8% |
| 5 |  Metagross | Holo Rare | $14.39 Snapshot-backed reference | 3.0% | $0.44 | 1.8% |
| 6 |  Tyranitar (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $199.86 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 468 | $0.43 | 1.7% |
| 7 |  Raikou & Suicune Legend (Top) | Ultra Rare | $183.55 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 468 | $0.39 | 1.6% |
| 8 |  Suicune & Entei Legend (Bottom) | Ultra Rare | $180.00 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 468 | $0.38 | 1.6% |
| 9 |  Elder Dragon | Epic | $100.00 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 288 | $0.35 | 1.4% |
| 10 |  Baron Nashor | Epic | $100.00 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 288 | $0.35 | 1.4% |