Market Tape
Set Expected Value Calculator
Modeled EV = Σ (reference price × pull rate). The live sealed model currently applies to standard Pokémon booster packs only; MTG singles are tracked elsewhere on CardIntel, but MTG sealed EV is not published until a product-specific model is ready.
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Set
HS—Unleashed
315 cards
Modeled Pack EV
$25.25
Modeled Box EV
$909.07
Box Cost
$120.00
Modeled Box ROI
+657.6%
✓ MODEL FAVORS OPENING
Breakeven Analysis
Cost per pack$3.33
Modeled EV per pack$25.25
Modeled profit per box+$789.07
Breakeven box cost$909.07
Modeled Cost Per Hit
Cards ≥ $1.00(192)~$0.81/hit
Cards ≥ $5.00(87)~$3.83/hit
Cards ≥ $10.00(76)~$5.19/hit
Cards ≥ $25.00(39)~$28.24/hit
Uses modeled pull rates from the EV engine, not equal-card odds.
EV by Rarity Tier
| Tier | Cards | Avg Reference | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
Ultra Rare | 13 | $110.62 | $3.07 12.2% |
Holo Rare | 11 | $12.39 | $4.13 16.4% |
Rare | 96 | $16.53 | $8.69 34.4% |
Uncommon | 105 | $1.31 | $3.92 15.5% |
Common | 90 | $0.78 | $5.45 21.6% |
EV Distribution
Ultra Rare12.2%
Holo Rare16.4%
Rare34.4%
Uncommon15.5%
Common21.6%
Top 10 EV Contributors
| # | Card | Rarity | Reference | Pull Rate | EV Contribution | % of Pack EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jirachi | Holo Rare | $24.35 Snapshot-backed reference | 3.0% | $0.74 | 2.9% |
| 2 |  Politoed | Holo Rare | $20.06 Snapshot-backed reference | 3.0% | $0.61 | 2.4% |
| 3 |  Sudowoodo | Holo Rare | $17.66 Snapshot-backed reference | 3.0% | $0.54 | 2.1% |
| 4 |  Metagross | Holo Rare | $15.70 Snapshot-backed reference | 3.0% | $0.48 | 1.9% |
| 5 |  Shaymin | Holo Rare | $15.11 Snapshot-backed reference | 3.0% | $0.46 | 1.8% |
| 6 |  Tyranitar (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $188.15 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 468 | $0.40 | 1.6% |
| 7 |  Suicune & Entei Legend (Bottom) | Ultra Rare | $180.00 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 468 | $0.38 | 1.5% |
| 8 |  Raikou & Suicune Legend (Top) | Ultra Rare | $164.14 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 468 | $0.35 | 1.4% |
| 9 | B Baron Nashor | Epic | $100.00 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 288 | $0.35 | 1.4% |
| 10 | E Elder Dragon | Epic | $100.00 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 288 | $0.35 | 1.4% |