Sealed Product Model
What a booster pack is actually worth.
Modeled EV = Σ (reference price × pull rate), on the same published reference prices as every other CardIntel surface. The live model covers standard Pokémon booster packs; MTG sealed stays unpublished until a product-specific model is ready.
Search by set name, code, or product word. The best match stays selected.
Set
Ascended Heroes
565 cards
Modeled Pack EV
$4.28
Modeled Box EV
$154.06
Box Cost
$120.00
Modeled Box ROI
+28.4%
✓ MODEL FAVORS OPENING
Breakeven Analysis
Cost per pack$3.33
Modeled EV per pack$4.28
Modeled profit per box+$34.06
Breakeven box cost$154.06
Modeled Cost Per Hit
Cards ≥ $1.00(92)~$23.39/hit
Cards ≥ $5.00(58)~$83.58/hit
Cards ≥ $10.00(33)~$224.05/hit
Cards ≥ $25.00(26)~$287.48/hit
Uses modeled pull rates from the EV engine, not equal-card odds.
EV by Rarity Tier
| Tier | Cards | Avg Reference | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
Secret/SAR | 55 | $100.93 | $1.48 34.6% |
Ultra Rare | 14 | $2.07 | $0.06 1.3% |
Rare | 120 | $7.79 | $0.58 13.5% |
Uncommon | 149 | $0.24 | $0.73 17.1% |
Common | 227 | $0.24 | $1.43 33.5% |
EV Distribution
Secret/SAR34.6%
Ultra Rare1.3%
Rare13.5%
Uncommon17.1%
Common33.5%
Top 10 EV Contributors
| # | Card | Rarity | Reference | Pull Rate | EV Contribution | % of Pack EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mega Gengar ex - 284/217 | Special Illustration Rare | $1.2K Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 3960 | $0.30 | 7.1% |
| 2 |  Pikachu ex - 276/217 | Special Illustration Rare | $1.2K Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 3960 | $0.29 | 6.8% |
| 3 |  Mega Dragonite ex - 290/217 | Special Illustration Rare | $726.77 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 3960 | $0.18 | 4.3% |
| 4 |  Mega Gengar ex - 269/217 | Mega Attack Rare | $60.89 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 360 | $0.17 | 4.0% |
| 5 |  Mega Dragonite ex - 271/217 | Mega Attack Rare | $43.07 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 360 | $0.12 | 2.8% |
| 6 |  Pikachu ex - 277/217 | Special Illustration Rare | $386.04 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 3960 | $0.10 | 2.3% |
| 7 |  Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 281/217 | Special Illustration Rare | $384.33 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 3960 | $0.10 | 2.3% |
| 8 |  Charmander | Common | $3.60 Snapshot-backed reference | 2.6% | $0.10 | 2.2% |
| 9 |  Mega Charizard Y ex - 294/217 | Mega Hyper Rare | $439.19 Snapshot-backed reference | 1 in 8640 | $0.05 | 1.2% |
| 10 |  Glastrier | Uncommon | $2.44 Snapshot-backed reference | 2.0% | $0.05 | 1.1% |